Research

Papers with their evidence attached: pre-registered experiments, published data, and results anyone can re-run.

Preprint · arXiv:2608.16112 [cs.SE]Strategic Technical DebtWhat is today’s marginal economic value of taking on one more unit of technical debt, given the probability that the venture survives long enough to have to repay it?Under review, Journal of Systems and SoftwareRead on arXiv →
Strategic Technical Debt: A Real Options Approach to Early-Stage Software Experimentation
Preprint · DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21960138Reading More, Finding LessIf you give an AI agent a hand-written index of what to read instead of a search tool, does it find the right document more often? No: it reads more files and lands on the wrong one more often.Read paper →
Reading More, Finding Less: A Pre-Registered Anatomy of Progressive Disclosure for AI Agents

Public preprints with their replication packages on GitHub, and manuscripts under journal review that are not yet public.

Preprint

From Traceability to Justifiability

Accountability Structures in Agentic Software Engineering

When a pipeline promotes an AI system, can its records even say that the thing tested is the thing deployed? Measured across 47 platforms and 30 public repositories: not yet. Nothing emits a checkable identity of the deployed behavior by default.

Preprint

The Agent Graph Runtime

A Unified Model for Static, Dynamic, and Hybrid Execution

Agent systems get sorted into static workflows, dynamic planners, or hybrids. Those labels mix up four separate questions: when the graph is built, where it becomes fixed and addressable, who authors it, and what runs it. Answer them separately and the three kinds turn out to be points on one map.

Under review

Structural Waste in Digital Operations

A Lean Theory of How the Weakest Layer Limits Capability

Lean manufacturing made waste visible and removable. What is the equivalent inside the software that runs an operation, and is a company’s capability capped by its weakest layer? A theory, two measurement instruments, and a pre-registered 500-repository test whose frozen criterion was not met, reported in full.

Under review, European Journal of Information Systems

Follow-ups to the papers above: the study that closed the gap the first one left open, and the tool both of them produced, archived with a DOI.

Software

mentu-navigator

The tool the two retrieval studies produced: a way for AI agents to find and read exactly the right part of a codebase, where every default was chosen by an experiment rather than by taste.

Predictions and analysis code frozen in public before any data was touched, so results are judged against what was promised, pass or fail.

EP-Π

Pivot salvage

Pre-registered for Strategic Technical Debt

When a startup pivots, how much of the code it already wrote survives into the new direction?

In preparation, not yet submitted. Listed so the claim is on the record with its actual status rather than implied by a citation. Manuscripts are shared on request.

Working paper

Agent Harness: Deterministic Control for Probabilistic Systems

A five-plane decomposition and a conditional invariant-preservation result

Can you get a hard guarantee out of a system built on a model that is not deterministic? Yes, if the model can propose anything but commit nothing without passing a gate you control.

2026 · confirmatory result pending
Working paper

The Return Base Rate

Captured knowledge is almost never reused in a production AI-agent system

AI agents save notes for later all the time. In a real production system, how often does anything saved get read again? Almost never, and this paper measures where in the pipeline it gets lost.

2026 · preprint pending release

Machine-readable: /api/research (JSON, every record above with abstracts and identifiers) · ORCID 0009-0008-5528-4246