Research

Papers with their evidence attached: pre-registered experiments, published data, and results anyone can re-run.

  • Pre-registered
  • Open data
  • Reproducible
Strategic Technical Debt: A Real Options Approach to Early-Stage Software Experimentation

Preprint · arXiv:2608.16112 [cs.SE]

Strategic Technical Debt (opens in a new tab)

What is today’s marginal economic value of taking on one more unit of technical debt, given the probability that the venture survives long enough to have to repay it?

Under review, Journal of Systems and Software

Reading More, Finding Less: A Pre-Registered Anatomy of Progressive Disclosure for AI Agents

Preprint · DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21960138

Reading More, Finding Less

If you give an AI agent a hand-written index of what to read instead of a search tool, does it find the right document more often? No: it reads more files and lands on the wrong one more often.

Preprints and submissions

Public preprints on arXiv and Zenodo, with their replication packages where there is data, and manuscripts that are not yet public.

Preprint

The Agent Graph Runtime (opens in a new tab)

A Unified Model for Static, Dynamic, and Hybrid Execution

Agent systems get sorted into static workflows, dynamic planners, or hybrids. Those labels mix up four separate questions: when the graph is built, where it becomes fixed and addressable, who authors it, and what runs it. Answer them separately and the three kinds turn out to be points on one map.

Preprint

Outbound Engineering (opens in a new tab)

A Model of Unsolicited B2B Outreach as a Measured System

Cold email gets judged by vendor dashboards with no controls. What changes when outbound is built as a measured system: evidence behind every address, a record of each send before its outcome arrives, and a gate that can refuse to send? A definition and seven testable propositions; no empirical result is claimed yet.

In revision

Structural Waste in Digital Operations

Operational Correspondence and the Limits of Positioned Compensation

Lean manufacturing made waste visible and removable. What is the equivalent inside the software that runs an operation, and is a company’s capability capped by its weakest layer? A theory, two measurement instruments, and a pre-registered 500-repository test whose frozen criterion was not met, reported in full.

Companion studies and software

Follow-ups to the papers above: the study that closed the gap the first one left open, and the tool both of them produced, archived with a DOI.

Pre-registrations

Predictions and analysis code frozen in public before any data was touched, so results are judged against what was promised, pass or fail.

Machine-readable: /api/research (JSON, every record above with abstracts and identifiers) · ORCID 0009-0008-5528-4246 (opens in a new tab)